Certified-Bulltard
0xf1ebd4ca556abf4ceb99995a75cd2d2325ea7afe
- Realised P&L
- $-2.9k
- Volume
- $688.5k
- Markets traded
- 281
- Open portfolio
- $774.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded281
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.054 | $774.43 | +$76.94 |
| Patriots vs. Bears · Patriots | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$110.00 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.474 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$111.61 |
| Lakers vs. Rockets · Rockets | 0.357 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET · Up | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners · Minnesota Twins | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET · Down | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs · Timberwolves | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$133.20 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? · Yes | 0.508 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$102.98 |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs · Timberwolves | 0.197 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$236.00 |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers · Raptors | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$54.00 |
| Cavaliers vs. Raptors · Cavaliers | 0.499 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.36 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$239.83 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 23? · No | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.22 |
| Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers · Timberwolves | 0.434 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$547.29 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$952.27at 0.510Raptors vs. Timberwolves
- +$707.64at 0.164Timberwolves vs. Spurs
- +$609.65at 0.662Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
- +$609.16at 0.323Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
- +$602.57at 0.523Timberwolves vs. Magic
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 15:43 | Timberwolves vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.18 | $133.20 |
| 10-26 16:44 | Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.3899999991 | $100.00 |
| 10-26 12:20 | Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.4 | $100.00 |
| 10-26 03:40 | Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.46 | $117.30 |
| 10-26 03:40 | Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.46 | $230.00 |
| 10-26 01:07 | Grizzlies vs. Kings | BUY | 0.6299999989 | $200.00 |
| 10-26 01:06 | Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.051 | $11.73 |
| 10-26 01:05 | Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.05 | $133.10 |
| 10-26 01:05 | Raptors vs. Timberwolves | SELL | 0.9956580034 | $2.0k |
| 10-25 02:41 | Raptors vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.5099999999 | $1000.00 |
| 10-24 18:55 | Iowa vs. Minnesota | BUY | 0.2799999993 | $50.00 |
| 10-24 18:46 | UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5 | $50.00 |
| 10-24 12:57 | St. Thomas vs. Marist | BUY | 0.6199999975 | $50.00 |
| 10-24 12:52 | Heat vs. Hornets | BUY | 0.5799999979 | $100.00 |
| 10-24 01:09 | Rockets vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.6499999998 | $400.00 |