PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

OKsun

0xf1e54857bb64064cac6580fbca6f1a436ec2c9e0

Realised P&L
$-2.1k
Volume
$104.8k
Markets traded
95
Open portfolio
$50.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded95
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.045$22.50−$32.50
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0500.021$10.25−$14.75
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0090.011$5.50+$1.00
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0050.009$4.25+$1.75
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0110.015$3.22+$0.78
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0280.026$2.65−$0.15
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.0760.032$1.58−$2.23
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0060.002$0.30−$0.90
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2350.000$0.00−$2.35
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1820.000$0.00−$54.68
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1760.000$0.00−$70.40
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding? · No0.0260.000$0.00−$2.60
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$1.40
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? · No0.5190.000$0.00−$103.89
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00−$2.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 14:21Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.81$8.10
09-14 02:24Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?SELL0.007$0.70
08-09 02:43Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?SELL0.07$69.30
07-06 02:56Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?SELL0.0059336445$0.18
06-26 02:59Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.001$0.50
06-12 07:20Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?SELL0.008$2.36
04-27 09:31US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?BUY0.021855$4.37
04-23 01:24Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.005$2.25
04-15 02:21Heat vs. HornetsSELL0.36680535$366.81
04-15 02:13Heat vs. HornetsSELL0.07$10.40
04-15 02:11Heat vs. HornetsBUY0.08$3.78
04-09 14:17JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?BUY0.5734450669$231.33
04-07 23:32US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?BUY0.017$0.09
04-07 06:07Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?BUY0.98$343.00
03-31 06:54Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.83$16.60