OKsun
0xf1e54857bb64064cac6580fbca6f1a436ec2c9e0
- Realised P&L
- $-2.1k
- Volume
- $104.8k
- Markets traded
- 95
- Open portfolio
- $50.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded95
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.99at 0.410Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$15.60at 0.959Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
- +$9.53at 0.020Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
- +$7.85at 0.038Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
- +$6.41at 0.717Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 14:21 | Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $8.10 |
| 09-14 02:24 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.70 |
| 08-09 02:43 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.07 | $69.30 |
| 07-06 02:56 | Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | SELL | 0.0059336445 | $0.18 |
| 06-26 02:59 | Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.50 |
| 06-12 07:20 | Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season? | SELL | 0.008 | $2.36 |
| 04-27 09:31 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.021855 | $4.37 |
| 04-23 01:24 | Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.005 | $2.25 |
| 04-15 02:21 | Heat vs. Hornets | SELL | 0.36680535 | $366.81 |
| 04-15 02:13 | Heat vs. Hornets | SELL | 0.07 | $10.40 |
| 04-15 02:11 | Heat vs. Hornets | BUY | 0.08 | $3.78 |
| 04-09 14:17 | JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10? | BUY | 0.5734450669 | $231.33 |
| 04-07 23:32 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | BUY | 0.017 | $0.09 |
| 04-07 06:07 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.98 | $343.00 |
| 03-31 06:54 | Based FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.83 | $16.60 |