LLLPPPP
0xf1e25e046ef6b8f7b9ee8865365357155486b97b
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $4.2k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $524.37
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-23.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration35.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will James Solomon win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election? · Yes | 0.980 | 1.000 | $510.20 | +$10.20 |
| Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.953 | 0.068 | $14.17 | −$185.83 |
| Jazz vs. Suns · Jazz | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on November 2? · Up | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Kings vs. Bucks · Bucks | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Knicks vs. Jazz · Knicks | 0.790 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$995.23 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$163.17at 0.380Knicks vs. Bulls
- +$117.39at 0.460Lakers vs. Grizzlies
- +$85.19at 0.540Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 1?
- +$33.34at 0.941Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$33.33at 0.900Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-05 15:30 | Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.952829954 | $200.00 |
| 11-05 15:30 | Will James Solomon win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election? | BUY | 0.98 | $500.00 |
| 11-01 14:01 | Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2025? | BUY | 0.8999999976 | $300.00 |
| 11-01 14:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 1? | BUY | 0.5399999981 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 13:59 | Kings vs. Bucks | BUY | 0.6699999993 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 13:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 2? | BUY | 0.5099999985 | $100.00 |
| 10-31 16:27 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | BUY | 0.941 | $531.78 |
| 10-31 16:19 | Knicks vs. Bulls | BUY | 0.3799851795 | $100.00 |
| 10-31 16:19 | Lakers vs. Grizzlies | BUY | 0.4599999983 | $100.00 |
| 10-31 16:19 | Jazz vs. Suns | BUY | 0.4199999977 | $100.00 |
| 10-31 16:18 | Pelicans vs. Clippers | BUY | 0.819999999 | $100.00 |
| 11-23 13:58 | Knicks vs. Jazz | BUY | 0.7899999999 | $995.23 |