Mattthebest9395
0xf1e21db85f5ed3bb28ea11062ad20f5851d66657
- Realised P&L
- $89.90
- Volume
- $35.4k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $103.70
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$460.00at 0.080US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$222.58at 0.310Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$90.00at 0.250Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
- +$1.51at 0.930Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-01-04?
- +$-0.26at 0.800Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 06:07 | Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0169999992 | $20.00 |
| 08-09 06:06 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0406442107 | $40.00 |
| 08-09 06:06 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0329999989 | $30.00 |
| 08-09 06:05 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0029999997 | $10.00 |
| 08-09 06:05 | Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0069999993 | $10.00 |
| 08-09 06:04 | Will Jose Mourinho attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.0903556649 | $10.00 |
| 08-09 06:03 | Will Piers Morgan attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.3310000914 | $10.00 |
| 08-09 06:03 | Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.2099999861 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 22:40 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0819999928 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 22:41 | Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5299999899 | $10.00 |
| 06-22 06:14 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0089294006 | $10.00 |
| 06-06 00:02 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.016 | $100.00 |
| 06-06 00:01 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.096999999 | $100.00 |
| 05-14 12:17 | Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? | BUY | 0.005 | $5.00 |
| 05-14 12:16 | Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.359999987 | $10.00 |