gnrz6u3mk9i0lfl1vkj6rlmwgbxlh2jt
0xf1deaef91fafc2857c680ced5a15a6f506d1bbbc
- Realised P&L
- $271.84
- Volume
- $69.9k
- Markets traded
- 2,322
- Open portfolio
- $8.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,322
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on October 10? · No | 0.110 | 0.255 | $3.48 | +$1.98 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 10? · No | 0.100 | 0.185 | $2.52 | +$1.16 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 10? · No | 0.140 | 0.190 | $2.03 | +$0.54 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 10? · No | 0.140 | 0.006 | $0.06 | −$1.44 |
| Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on October 9? · No | 0.110 | 0.004 | $0.06 | −$1.44 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 9? · No | 0.140 | 0.002 | $0.02 | −$1.48 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 9? · No | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.19 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on October 9? · No | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.36 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 7°C on October 9? · No | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on October 9? · No | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$228.88at 0.020Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on May 17?
- +$90.46at 0.052Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on July 30?
- +$75.91at 0.070Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 1?
- +$67.44at 0.079Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on June 24?
- +$64.58at 0.093Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 00:09 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.36 |
| 10-09 14:27 | Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on October 9? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.36 |
| 10-09 01:57 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 10-09 00:46 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 7°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.50 |
| 10-08 21:45 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.11 | $0.55 |
| 10-08 05:37 | Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 15°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.36 |
| 10-07 11:15 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 7? | BUY | 0.1 | $0.19 |
| 10-06 13:24 | Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be 82°F or higher on October 7? | BUY | 0.1 | $0.00 |
| 10-06 05:29 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.08 | $0.40 |
| 10-05 18:13 | Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 25°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.36 |
| 10-05 15:35 | Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.36 |
| 10-05 15:31 | Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.36 |
| 10-05 15:01 | Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.36 |
| 10-05 14:33 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.36 |
| 10-05 14:09 | Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on October 5? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.36 |