HH504
0xf1da58312b573c62e9ed091622d3d7bef3455064
- Realised P&L
- $4.82
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $32.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.455 | $32.50 | +$12.50 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.396 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.94 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.92at 0.102Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$0.17at 0.021Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$0.00at 0.280Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$-32.00at 0.070Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 23:21 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.0211770833 | $10.16 |
| 10-28 23:21 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.038 | $38.00 |
| 10-26 21:03 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.28 | $16.00 |
| 10-21 14:35 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2799999958 | $16.00 |
| 10-14 13:14 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.0208333333 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 07:16 | Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $20.00 |
| 08-12 13:09 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.06 | $30.00 |
| 07-19 19:50 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.396 | $5.94 |
| 07-16 17:21 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.08 | $40.00 |
| 07-16 17:05 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.037999988 | $3.00 |
| 07-15 21:04 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | SELL | 0.9975 | $51.15 |
| 07-15 20:23 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.0974999829 | $5.00 |