LeipzigG
0xf1d8c6a00a29a9c1c103a7186803e1482f298dd3
- Realised P&L
- $2.6k
- Volume
- $590.3k
- Markets traded
- 134
- Open portfolio
- $716.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded134
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? · Yes | 0.272 | 0.390 | $503.58 | +$152.91 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? · Yes | 0.171 | 0.145 | $162.46 | −$28.96 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.140 | $28.00 | −$9.97 |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? · Yamal | 0.460 | 0.285 | $18.81 | −$11.55 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.005 | $3.30 | −$17.74 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026? · Yes | 0.138 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$771.91 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$264.37 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$130.93 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.3kat 0.053Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?
- +$2.0kat 0.470Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 2.5
- +$884.73at 0.330Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score
- +$817.34at 0.262Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?
- +$720.14at 0.625RB Leipzig vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 3.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 21:42 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.0350702667 | $21.04 |
| 10-21 21:16 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $4.00 |
| 10-21 21:15 | Will Kylian Mbappé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.15 | $195.00 |
| 10-21 19:17 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $6.44 |
| 10-21 19:17 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $22.88 |
| 10-21 17:05 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $4.80 |
| 10-21 17:03 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $2.78 |
| 10-21 17:02 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $4.05 |
| 10-21 13:24 | Will Kylian Mbappé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1879353105 | $18.19 |
| 09-04 14:38 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.0966666667 | $29.00 |
| 09-04 14:38 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.1322470439 | $90.93 |
| 09-04 14:37 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.069207201 | $138.41 |
| 09-01 13:47 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.1731862732 | $51.88 |
| 09-01 13:46 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.1750588 | $175.06 |
| 09-01 13:45 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.1495684587 | $9.21 |