0xF1CE2dE056016adC14C1cf2e992d6e433600Eb1e-1776865345634
0xf1ce2de056016adc14c1cf2e992d6e433600eb1e
- Realised P&L
- $-46.47
- Volume
- $810.01
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $2.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration78.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.003 | $1.09 | −$8.91 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.015 | $0.91 | −$4.09 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24? · Yes | 0.539 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.53 |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? · Yes | 0.067 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Guatemala win on 2026-06-04? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.82at 0.654Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22?
- +$4.00at 0.573Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-22?
- +$-0.10at 0.205Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?
- +$-1.70at 0.107US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$-13.79at 0.452Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 13:35 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1069999469 | $1.70 |
| 06-15 13:35 | Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | SELL | 0.19 | $0.95 |
| 06-11 16:49 | Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 06-11 16:46 | Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | BUY | 0.1099999685 | $3.00 |
| 06-04 17:24 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus? | BUY | 0.0228459938 | $10.00 |
| 06-04 15:04 | Will Guatemala win on 2026-06-04? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |
| 06-04 15:00 | Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.0389999635 | $1.00 |
| 06-04 14:59 | Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 06-04 14:58 | Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 06-04 14:57 | Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.0670000051 | $1.00 |
| 06-04 14:21 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 04-23 22:03 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24? | BUY | 0.5299999946 | $25.70 |
| 04-22 22:07 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22? | SELL | 0.999 | $21.65 |
| 04-22 19:51 | Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-22? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.81 |
| 04-22 17:46 | Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-22? | BUY | 0.6099999774 | $2.90 |