PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

PolarOpposite

0xf1c3ddde45f6b76a85caefba8a27a931454195b7

Realised P&L
$-327.58
Volume
$16.8k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$22.63

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration53.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)61.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? · Yes0.0220.019$22.63$2.90
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) · Switzerland0.0400.000$0.00$0.20
Spread: Austria (-1.5) · Austria0.1000.000$0.00$599.99
Will Kanye West win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$0.01
Will Cleveland change name to "Indians" in 2025? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$0.98
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) · Switzerland0.1600.000$0.00$0.80
Will Kanye West win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$0.01
Spread: Spain (-2.5) · Saudi Arabia0.4500.000$0.00$2.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-30 06:53Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?BUY0.88$26.40
06-30 06:53Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?BUY0.85$23.12
06-30 06:51Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?BUY0.79$23.70
06-25 22:05Will Iran legalize gay marriage?BUY0.022$12.96
06-25 22:04Will Iran legalize gay marriage?SELL0.021$6.30
06-25 22:04Will Iran legalize gay marriage?BUY0.022$2.20
06-25 21:36Will Iran legalize gay marriage?BUY0.022$2.53
06-25 09:10Will Iran legalize gay marriage?BUY0.022$1.21
06-25 09:09Will Iran legalize gay marriage?SELL0.021$1.33
06-25 09:09Will Iran legalize gay marriage?BUY0.022$1.21
06-25 08:20Will Iran legalize gay marriage?BUY0.022$1.10
06-25 08:17Will Iran legalize gay marriage?BUY0.022$2.20
06-25 08:11Will Iran legalize gay marriage?SELL0.022$1.06
06-25 07:56Will Iran legalize gay marriage?SELL0.022$1.10
06-25 07:36Will Iran legalize gay marriage?SELL0.022$1.10