SunXiaochuan6
0xf1c0d539fbdb437b8d61409fbec07daa1900a5a2
- Realised P&L
- $994.42
- Volume
- $29.2k
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $14.0k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$129.51at 0.233Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?
- +$64.00at 0.840Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
- +$46.42at 0.938Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%?
- +$35.20at 0.648NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
- +$34.53at 0.946Iran leadership change by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 16:03 | Will Vinted be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? | BUY | 0.9 | $100.00 |
| 09-17 15:43 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? | BUY | 0.9522751311 | $633.84 |
| 09-17 15:37 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.8135714286 | $91.12 |
| 09-17 15:21 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $97.38 |
| 09-17 15:16 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.93 | $150.00 |
| 09-17 10:22 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | SELL | 0.3038420765 | $111.21 |
| 09-16 16:08 | Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.7713600576 | $32.13 |
| 09-16 14:20 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.59 | $150.00 |
| 09-15 11:35 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15? | BUY | 0.9908863036 | $60.05 |
| 09-15 11:32 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15? | BUY | 0.987 | $148.05 |
| 09-15 04:01 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24? | BUY | 0.9 | $77.94 |
| 09-14 18:43 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24? | BUY | 0.89 | $12.11 |
| 09-14 06:30 | Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026? | SELL | 0.6021258503 | $14.16 |
| 09-14 06:30 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.69 | $328.57 |
| 09-13 16:54 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | BUY | 0.74 | $35.08 |