PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

SunXiaochuan6

0xf1c0d539fbdb437b8d61409fbec07daa1900a5a2

Realised P&L
$-2.2k
Volume
$174.6k
Markets traded
80
Open portfolio
$17.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded80
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration87.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.9260.945$15.2k+$305.64
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6840.735$520.62+$36.16
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? · Yes0.9740.973$497.92−$0.68
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6500.715$329.99+$30.00
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · No0.7720.695$269.83−$29.95
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · No0.7900.785$198.60−$1.26
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.5900.705$179.23+$29.24
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? · Yes0.7580.723$171.00−$8.26
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? · No0.5190.732$69.00+$19.99
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? · No0.9370.000$0.00−$28.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 03:01Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.95$1.4k
11-02 03:01Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.79$199.87
11-02 02:55US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?BUY0.9738363867$498.60
10-30 07:12Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.71$4.47
10-28 21:42Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.93$4.0k
10-28 21:42Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.9668343197$1.5k
10-28 21:42Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.69$179.99
10-26 00:47Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.95$301.00
10-26 00:47Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?SELL0.6531924024$299.87
10-26 00:24Will Israel election happen as scheduled?BUY0.9623381667$309.28
10-25 18:37Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?SELL0.71$319.50
10-22 20:11Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.93$940.00
10-22 20:08Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.88$800.00
10-22 19:59Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.68$300.00
10-20 15:55Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.92$3.6k