0xf1Bb50c3ec1D4a515Bc709EC66d0CA3BA4A50DE4-1774425904522
0xf1bb50c3ec1d4a515bc709ec66d0ca3ba4a50de4
- Realised P&L
- $-487.77
- Volume
- $8.9k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $307.31
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration94.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.124 | 0.038 | $136.93 | −$309.03 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.665 | $125.47 | +$25.47 |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.166 | 0.149 | $44.91 | −$5.09 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? · Yes | 0.555 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| Will Trump name "Kushner" in April? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Trump name "Caine" in April? · No | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Trump name "Maduro" in April? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$505.83at 0.530US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$28.21at 0.780Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
- +$-1.00at 0.002US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 06:53 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | BUY | 0.529999998 | $100.00 |
| 11-02 06:42 | Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1664509834 | $50.00 |
| 05-02 21:34 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | BUY | 0.5548155258 | $1000.00 |
| 04-06 22:12 | Will Trump name "Caine" in April? | BUY | 0.0043774319 | $1.00 |
| 04-06 22:12 | Will Trump name "Maduro" in April? | BUY | 0.0013697421 | $1.00 |
| 04-06 22:12 | Will Trump name "Kushner" in April? | BUY | 0.0011813456 | $1.00 |
| 04-06 22:11 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | SELL | 0.994 | $4.97 |
| 04-05 08:22 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 04-05 08:22 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | SELL | 0.998 | $1.00 |
| 03-25 18:31 | H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.1237617264 | $445.96 |
| 03-25 08:33 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.5299999995 | $447.18 |
| 03-25 08:22 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.5299999997 | $123.26 |
| 03-25 08:21 | Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999995 | $100.00 |