PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xf1Bb50c3ec1D4a515Bc709EC66d0CA3BA4A50DE4-1774425904522

0xf1bb50c3ec1d4a515bc709ec66d0ca3ba4a50de4

Realised P&L
$-487.77
Volume
$8.9k
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$307.31

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration94.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.1240.038$136.93−$309.03
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? · Yes0.5300.665$125.47+$25.47
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1660.149$44.91−$5.09
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? · Yes0.5550.000$0.00−$1000.00
Will Trump name "Kushner" in April? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Trump name "Caine" in April? · No0.0040.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Trump name "Maduro" in April? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 06:53US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?BUY0.529999998$100.00
11-02 06:42Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1664509834$50.00
05-02 21:34Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?BUY0.5548155258$1000.00
04-06 22:12Will Trump name "Caine" in April?BUY0.0043774319$1.00
04-06 22:12Will Trump name "Maduro" in April?BUY0.0013697421$1.00
04-06 22:12Will Trump name "Kushner" in April?BUY0.0011813456$1.00
04-06 22:11US forces enter Iran by April 30?SELL0.994$4.97
04-05 08:22US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.002$1.00
04-05 08:22US forces enter Iran by April 30?SELL0.998$1.00
03-25 18:31H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.1237617264$445.96
03-25 08:33US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.5299999995$447.18
03-25 08:22US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.5299999997$123.26
03-25 08:21Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?BUY0.7799999995$100.00