PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

swaz13131313

0xf1b9819e9915dfc60a10217ec02e7f5709f51c66

Realised P&L
$3.42
Volume
$662.28
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$308.11

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Guitarricadelafuente be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.7100.660$52.80−$4.00
Will Olivia Wilde be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.6800.615$49.20−$5.20
Will Altria (MO) Q3 total domestic cigarettes shipment volume (sticks in billions) be above 15B? · Yes0.7300.645$32.25−$4.25
Will Altria (MO) Q3 total domestic cigarettes shipment volume (sticks in billions) be above 15.5B? · No0.6500.535$32.10−$6.90
Will Meta’s Q3 headcount be above 74000? · No0.8500.800$32.00−$2.00
Will Meta’s Q3 headcount be above 72000? · No0.7800.745$29.80−$1.40
Will "Behemoth!" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.5600.420$16.80−$5.60
Will Samantha Morton be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.7300.725$14.50−$0.10
Will Ruth Madeley be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.4000.355$14.20−$1.80
Will Meta’s Q3 headcount be above 70000? · Yes0.3500.330$9.90−$0.60
Spotify Monthly Active Users above 790M in Q3? · Yes0.5000.455$9.10−$0.90
Will Virginie Efira be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.3900.395$7.90+$0.10
Will John Leguizamo be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.2700.145$2.90−$2.50
Will Inde Navarrette be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.1900.130$2.60−$1.20
Will Inde Navarrette be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.7900.870$1.11+$0.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 20:35Will Meta’s Q3 headcount be above 68000?SELL0.67$6.70
10-14 20:34Will Meta’s Q3 headcount be above 68000?SELL0.67$6.70