bencarteau
0xf1b7b8b19f57462bc64aab047305206ab9516d55
- Realised P&L
- $-6.05
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $42.38
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup? · Yes | 0.512 | 1.000 | $19.53 | +$9.53 |
| Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.540 | 1.000 | $18.52 | +$8.52 |
| Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.017 | $4.33 | −$0.67 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.15at 0.390NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on March 17?
- +$0.11at 0.030Miami Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Bianca Andreescu
- +$-0.02at 0.950Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
- +$-0.02at 0.916Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
- +$-0.04at 0.940EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-12 15:39 | Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.019050776 | $5.00 |
| 04-11 15:43 | Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5399999903 | $10.00 |
| 04-11 15:43 | Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | BUY | 0.5121235271 | $10.00 |
| 03-22 02:33 | T20I Series New Zealand vs South Africa, Women: New Zealand vs South Africa | SELL | 0.24 | $5.04 |
| 03-22 02:33 | T20I Series New Zealand vs South Africa, Women: New Zealand vs South Africa | BUY | 0.25 | $5.25 |
| 03-22 02:22 | T20I Series New Zealand vs South Africa, Women: New Zealand vs South Africa | SELL | 0.82 | $10.78 |
| 03-22 02:21 | T20I Series New Zealand vs South Africa, Women: New Zealand vs South Africa | BUY | 0.83 | $10.91 |
| 03-22 02:11 | T20I Series New Zealand vs South Africa, Women: New Zealand vs South Africa | SELL | 0.32 | $14.12 |
| 03-22 02:10 | T20I Series New Zealand vs South Africa, Women: New Zealand vs South Africa | SELL | 0.32 | $10.32 |
| 03-22 02:10 | T20I Series New Zealand vs South Africa, Women: New Zealand vs South Africa | BUY | 0.33 | $10.64 |
| 03-22 02:05 | T20I Series New Zealand vs South Africa, Women: New Zealand vs South Africa | BUY | 0.3399999855 | $15.00 |
| 03-20 15:33 | EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.92 | $1.84 |
| 03-20 15:33 | EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.94 | $1.88 |
| 03-17 18:20 | NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on March 17? | SELL | 0.44 | $1.33 |
| 03-17 16:44 | Miami Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Bianca Andreescu | SELL | 0.031 | $3.44 |