PolJim
0xf1b29b5ad60ca3243e383d83dc4c8eeec40fa321
- Realised P&L
- $-25.0k
- Volume
- $1.31M
- Markets traded
- 261
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded261
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.6kat 0.388Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$2.2kat 0.500US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
- +$1.8kat 0.695Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $110 in April?
- +$1.5kat 0.428US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
- +$1.4kat 0.770US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 08:27 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.992 | $1.8k |
| 06-24 07:09 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.55 | $990.00 |
| 06-24 07:07 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.87 | $6.5k |
| 06-17 15:03 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $7.0k |
| 06-16 12:39 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.009 | $36.00 |
| 06-16 12:34 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9937228011 | $6.9k |
| 06-15 06:16 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.965 | $602.03 |
| 06-15 06:15 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9660684259 | $5.5k |
| 06-15 06:15 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.144019395 | $288.04 |
| 06-12 22:01 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $3.6k |
| 06-12 22:01 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.83747747 | $1.7k |
| 06-02 11:16 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.987 | $478.19 |
| 05-31 19:56 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.8870978321 | $917.00 |
| 05-19 11:40 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $136.00 |
| 05-19 03:28 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $850.00 |