GrindMaster
0xf1b0b2907f25cb12798570e1b71b0b20b84106b5
- Realised P&L
- $-52.11
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $20.57
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)5.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2? · No | 0.718 | 0.720 | $14.13 | +$0.04 |
| Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.280 | $6.44 | −$2.53 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.10at 0.933House favorite on November 2 wins the election?
- +$-0.04at 0.960Will Clavicular be arrested by September 25?
- +$-0.06at 0.070Will Satya Nadella attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?
- +$-0.07at 0.740Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.4% before 2027?
- +$-0.08at 0.080Will Clavicular be arrested by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 12:35 | Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2? | BUY | 0.7299999477 | $5.72 |
| 09-22 12:35 | Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2? | BUY | 0.71 | $8.37 |
| 09-22 11:07 | No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.6 | $13.80 |
| 09-22 09:43 | Will more than 650,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31? | SELL | 0.1282085684 | $8.41 |
| 09-22 09:37 | Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Watermelon? | SELL | 0.19 | $4.37 |
| 09-22 09:26 | Will Clavicular be arrested by September 30? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.84 |
| 09-22 09:26 | Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.42 | $28.98 |
| 09-22 08:47 | Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.38 |
| 09-22 07:58 | Will Hurricane Polo peak at Category 5? | SELL | 0.09 | $2.07 |
| 09-22 07:58 | Will Sundar Pichai attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping? | SELL | 0.054 | $1.45 |
| 09-22 07:56 | Will Hurricane Polo peak at Category 5? | SELL | 0.68 | $13.60 |
| 09-22 07:56 | Will Clavicular be arrested by September 25? | SELL | 0.961 | $6.73 |
| 09-22 07:55 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.4% before 2027? | SELL | 0.74 | $3.70 |
| 09-22 06:34 | Will Satya Nadella attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.61 |
| 09-22 05:33 | House favorite on November 2 wins the election? | SELL | 0.05 | $2.30 |