mitdemwind
0xf1b039cd91c9aa22e066e15d53696d4437075768
- Realised P&L
- $-390.77
- Volume
- $14.2k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $131.48
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration88.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.026 | $116.94 | −$76.81 |
| Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.005 | $14.53 | −$8.77 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.063 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.54 |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$352.45 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 17:03 | Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0091654408 | $8.00 |
| 09-19 18:58 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0372201017 | $25.91 |
| 08-19 07:43 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.041 | $26.04 |
| 08-08 01:09 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0439999794 | $2.00 |
| 08-07 16:33 | Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0095229438 | $8.00 |
| 08-06 19:04 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0459999983 | $25.32 |
| 08-03 18:42 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.044999998 | $21.00 |
| 08-01 18:49 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0459999983 | $25.16 |
| 07-30 18:03 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0460000001 | $25.17 |
| 07-29 17:41 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0464309489 | $25.17 |
| 07-27 18:40 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0469999976 | $18.00 |
| 07-27 18:38 | Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0078605111 | $7.31 |
| 07-02 18:52 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0629999978 | $25.54 |
| 06-23 11:25 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 06-17 13:13 | Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |