0xf1a63a2f419c3ee7a8163697bc76420b319fcad3
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $83.6k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $349.88
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration41.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yes | 0.554 | 0.449 | $121.45 | −$28.55 |
| Will the fight be won by KO or TKO? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.365 | $114.34 | −$42.29 |
| UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) · Arman Tsarukyan | 0.740 | 0.735 | $114.09 | −$0.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$129.76at 0.724Zuffa Boxing: Garcia vs. Benn (Welterweight, Main)
- +$86.45at 0.529Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?
- +$77.13at 0.920Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
- +$12.79at 0.700Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
- +$5.73at 0.970Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 06:24 | UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.7399999136 | $4.97 |
| 09-18 06:23 | UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.7399999845 | $21.02 |
| 09-18 06:23 | UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.7399999945 | $88.88 |
| 09-18 06:23 | Will the fight be won by KO or TKO? | SELL | 0.3796877993 | $118.94 |
| 09-17 09:35 | Will the fight be won by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.5 | $12.67 |
| 09-17 09:34 | Will the fight be won by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.5 | $55.71 |
| 09-17 09:29 | Will the fight be won by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.5 | $244.88 |
| 09-15 17:33 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.5545488194 | $150.00 |
| 09-11 10:36 | Zuffa Boxing: Garcia vs. Benn (Welterweight, Main) | BUY | 0.7099999936 | $22.32 |
| 09-11 10:36 | Zuffa Boxing: Garcia vs. Benn (Welterweight, Main) | BUY | 0.7099999988 | $94.82 |
| 09-11 10:36 | Zuffa Boxing: Garcia vs. Benn (Welterweight, Main) | BUY | 0.7099999996 | $128.95 |
| 09-11 10:36 | Zuffa Boxing: Garcia vs. Benn (Welterweight, Main) | BUY | 0.7099999967 | $86.53 |
| 09-11 10:06 | Zuffa Boxing: Garcia vs. Benn (Welterweight, Main) | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 18:14 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BUY | 0.3299997822 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 18:13 | UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.2899999994 | $362.87 |