Degeneral2
0xf1a42ff041726bbd7f9aafc483675aeb93f1e9ad
- Realised P&L
- $-6.6k
- Volume
- $927.8k
- Markets traded
- 299
- Open portfolio
- $742.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded299
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chainlink dip to $4 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.922 | 0.930 | $505.68 | +$4.49 |
| Will Chainlink dip to $6 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.804 | 0.925 | $236.59 | +$30.92 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Western Conference? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.98 |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$43.12 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.3kat 0.490Hawks vs. Spurs
- +$1.6kat 0.736Kings vs. Grizzlies
- +$1.1kat 0.788US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
- +$952.33at 0.660Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
- +$875.00at 0.630Clippers vs. Rockets
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-18 09:24 | Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season? | SELL | 0.95 | $412.27 |
| 04-18 09:23 | Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season? | SELL | 0.9556252828 | $63.35 |
| 04-15 04:20 | Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $925.81 |
| 04-15 04:19 | Will Dogecoin dip to $0.02 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.7598331696 | $340.31 |
| 04-15 04:15 | Will BNB dip to $200 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.8092888403 | $110.95 |
| 04-15 04:15 | Will CryptoPunks floor price dip to 10 ETH before 2027? | SELL | 0.8 | $208.47 |
| 04-15 04:10 | Will Malaysia recognize Israel by June 30? | SELL | 0.926176828 | $45.73 |
| 04-15 04:10 | Will Qatar recognize Israel by June 30? | SELL | 0.905334409 | $120.64 |
| 04-15 04:10 | Will Tunisia recognize Israel by June 30? | SELL | 0.89755 | $17.95 |
| 04-15 04:10 | Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30? | SELL | 0.7935878149 | $254.26 |
| 04-15 04:10 | Will Iraq recognize Israel by June 30? | SELL | 0.9147222809 | $17.32 |
| 04-15 04:09 | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | SELL | 0.7787424165 | $76.25 |
| 02-04 10:50 | Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? | SELL | 0.147 | $42.27 |
| 01-25 03:36 | Will the Cleveland Cavaliers make the NBA Playoffs? | SELL | 0.0667972543 | $25.01 |
| 01-25 03:36 | Will the Cleveland Cavaliers make the NBA Playoffs? | SELL | 0.0705114306 | $39.39 |