CarlosV04
0xf1a27db9de258fb830aa128c3b5a0d4edd3016fc
- Realised P&L
- $-21.88
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $22.40
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes | 0.086 | 0.140 | $22.40 | +$8.65 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$92.88 |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.64 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 · Vitality | 0.910 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$31.47 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$69.12at 0.587Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$34.22at 0.746Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
- +$11.28at 0.387Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?
- +$7.40at 0.696Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
- +$4.56at 0.925Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 03:08 | Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.0856374574 | $13.75 |
| 07-19 16:57 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4099999981 | $92.88 |
| 06-12 21:32 | Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.64 |
| 06-12 21:31 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.019 | $2.81 |
| 06-12 13:07 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | BUY | 0.9099999997 | $31.47 |
| 06-12 03:40 | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | SELL | 0.82 | $21.57 |
| 06-12 01:25 | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | BUY | 0.3799999833 | $10.00 |
| 06-11 21:30 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0269999933 | $4.00 |
| 06-11 21:29 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | SELL | 0.999 | $24.42 |
| 06-11 05:05 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | BUY | 0.6899999975 | $16.87 |
| 06-11 03:45 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.026 | $16.91 |
| 06-09 01:49 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1489999988 | $95.44 |
| 06-08 02:55 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5699999702 | $5.54 |
| 06-08 01:57 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.4565772236 | $143.17 |
| 06-06 15:18 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 | SELL | 0.999 | $134.99 |