PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

iiallen

0xf1a11b904f8a03cd0a449f89582bb7ef59da3d9e

Realised P&L
$156.80
Volume
$10.7k
Markets traded
112
Open portfolio
$4.93

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded112
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 29? · Yes0.6600.705$1.07+$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 29? · Yes0.5700.565$0.99−$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 29? · Yes0.5100.500$0.98−$0.02
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 29? · Yes0.5600.530$0.95−$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 29? · Yes0.5500.515$0.94−$0.06
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or below on September 28? · Yes0.0200.001$0.00−$0.10
Rockets vs. Bulls · Rockets0.5800.000$0.00−$3.00
Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 2.5 · Over0.5900.000$0.00−$2.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1850.000$0.00−$5.36
US government shutdown Saturday? · No0.2300.000$0.00−$5.92
Ostrava Open: Sinja Kraus vs Viktorija Golubic · Kraus0.1000.000$0.00−$1.00
Transylvania Open: Yue Yuan vs Sara Sorribes Tormo · Tormo0.3200.000$0.00−$5.12
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - LCP Regular Season · CTBC Flying Oyster0.1350.000$0.00−$15.00
Valorant: RAFHA eSPORTS vs Vibranium Esports (BO3) - VCL MENA: Resilience Kickoff Group Stage - NA · RAFHA eSPORTS0.6100.000$0.00−$1.00
Bucks vs. Celtics · Bucks0.1500.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 18:17Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 29?BUY0.559999776$1.00
09-28 18:14Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 29?BUY0.549999945$1.00
09-28 18:12Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 29?BUY0.5099998215$1.00
09-28 18:12Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 29?BUY0.5699999886$1.00
09-28 18:12Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 29?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
09-27 06:27Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 27?BUY0.8499997025$2.00
09-27 06:22Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or below on September 28?BUY0.02$0.10
09-27 06:21Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 28?BUY0.4299999807$2.00
09-13 06:16Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on September 14?BUY0.3599999712$1.00
06-19 17:54Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.185$5.37
03-24 02:05Rockets vs. BullsBUY0.5299998781$1.00
03-24 02:03Rockets vs. BullsBUY0.6099999786$2.00
03-24 01:54Rockets vs. BullsSELL0.41$10.31
03-24 01:40Rockets vs. BullsBUY0.3299999591$5.00
03-24 01:31Pacers vs. MagicSELL0.767$6.97