transmitterMagenta20
0xf18f0fabca2c9d9b0311ff3435e7c19af3f93f2f
- Realised P&L
- $-1.27
- Volume
- $33.71
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $4.30
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration36.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 17? · Yes | 0.967 | 0.962 | $2.15 | −$0.01 |
| Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · No | 0.989 | 0.983 | $1.09 | −$0.01 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 14-20? · No | 0.988 | 0.989 | $1.06 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.10at 0.957Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 9?
- +$0.09at 0.967Will Amanda Anisimova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
- +$0.04at 0.984Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-09-09?
- +$0.04at 0.968Will Málaga CF win on 2026-08-30?
- +$0.01at 0.994Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 21:13 | Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.9889999919 | $1.10 |
| 09-15 21:10 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 17? | BUY | 0.9669999857 | $2.16 |
| 09-15 21:09 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.9879999963 | $1.06 |
| 09-07 19:20 | Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-09-09? | BUY | 0.9829999981 | $2.56 |
| 09-07 19:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 9? | BUY | 0.9539999899 | $2.26 |
| 09-07 19:18 | Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.0869999975 | $1.56 |
| 09-03 05:45 | Will Madison Keys win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | BUY | 0.9939999981 | $1.06 |
| 09-03 05:44 | Will Amanda Anisimova win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | BUY | 0.9659999985 | $2.58 |
| 08-29 13:32 | Will Málaga CF win on 2026-08-30? | BUY | 0.9659999982 | $1.07 |
| 08-29 13:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 30? | BUY | 0.9939999974 | $1.53 |