Alicia
0xf1899a30a2c016941bf4abd77b900ecacd768e47
- Realised P&L
- $44.6k
- Volume
- $4.18M
- Markets traded
- 967
- Open portfolio
- $370.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded967
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.0kat 0.665Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
- +$3.8kat 0.522Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of January?
- +$2.8kat 0.770Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$2.5kat 0.900Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?
- +$2.5kat 0.767Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 10:14 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October? | BUY | 0.8481615223 | $666.36 |
| 10-06 13:30 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 in October? | SELL | 0.73 | $47.07 |
| 10-03 02:01 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in October? | BUY | 0.1114776207 | $78.28 |
| 09-25 13:19 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in September? | SELL | 0.064 | $10.64 |
| 09-18 06:31 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in September? | SELL | 0.1418433931 | $8.69 |
| 09-18 06:29 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in September? | SELL | 0.3283072668 | $99.71 |
| 09-17 02:23 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in September? | SELL | 0.07 | $7.71 |
| 09-15 07:51 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in September? | BUY | 0.6147361841 | $531.05 |
| 09-15 07:45 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in September? | BUY | 0.94 | $15.66 |
| 09-15 07:44 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in September? | BUY | 0.94 | $216.53 |
| 09-15 01:56 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in September? | BUY | 0.95 | $227.05 |
| 09-14 08:01 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in September? | BUY | 0.9681516321 | $1.1k |
| 09-14 08:01 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in September? | BUY | 0.958065315 | $495.20 |
| 09-14 08:00 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in September? | BUY | 0.92 | $27.60 |
| 09-14 08:00 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in September? | BUY | 0.92 | $20.71 |