EricTsang9426
0xf1856d92f880eb732ae2846c7194a55d4b0d1bd1
- Realised P&L
- $-443.81
- Volume
- $15.6k
- Markets traded
- 182
- Open portfolio
- $40.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded182
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes | 0.450 | 0.605 | $26.89 | +$6.89 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 21? · Yes | 0.103 | 0.120 | $14.02 | +$2.02 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on August 24? · Yes | 0.173 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET · Up | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on April 15? · Yes | 0.463 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.58 |
| Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 9? · Yes | 0.153 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.50at 0.540Will Newcastle win on 2025-01-04?
- +$27.62at 0.420Will Tottenham win on 2025-10-04?
- +$20.42at 0.421Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?
- +$19.41at 0.340Will West Ham win on 2025-01-14?
- +$19.26at 0.509Elon out of Trump administration before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 12:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET | BUY | 0.7099999702 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 12:09 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.1026957638 | $12.00 |
| 09-20 12:07 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.82 | $13.01 |
| 08-24 05:03 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on August 24? | BUY | 0.1727970725 | $10.00 |
| 08-09 06:53 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.1531723428 | $20.00 |
| 08-04 22:41 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | SELL | 0.998 | $24.64 |
| 08-01 06:36 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.8099999931 | $20.00 |
| 08-01 01:20 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.629999988 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 01:12 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.4499999921 | $20.00 |
| 07-31 15:04 | Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? | BUY | 0.2299999933 | $25.00 |
| 05-27 01:53 | Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.7899999947 | $30.00 |
| 05-04 00:31 | Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? | SELL | 0.18 | $92.56 |
| 04-15 01:35 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on April 15? | BUY | 0.4499998576 | $1.49 |
| 04-05 02:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $1.51 |
| 03-28 09:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.7399998428 | $1.11 |