RalphMoney
0xf1802fbb73bd57c4dc3c8037ca87991545d90053
- Realised P&L
- $-196.13
- Volume
- $8.1k
- Markets traded
- 169
- Open portfolio
- $30.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded169
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$62.08at 0.376Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 16?
- +$32.14at 0.447Raptors vs. Trail Blazers
- +$20.16at 0.596Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 23?
- +$17.57at 0.350Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
- +$16.76at 0.051Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 11, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 20:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 20:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 19:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 19:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 19:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 19:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 19:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 19:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET | BUY | 0.6422924759 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 19:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $6.08 |
| 10-02 19:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 18:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 18:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 18:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 17:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 17:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |