zfdsf
0xf17cb8d9b19891c833a7844e47757bb59e1c7462
- Realised P&L
- $82.87
- Volume
- $11.3k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $116.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $3,200 September 14-20? · No | 0.997 | 0.997 | $65.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 September 14-20? · No | 0.997 | 0.998 | $51.03 | +$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$121.92at 0.751Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?
- +$76.92at 0.749Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?
- +$72.70at 0.576Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$52.94at 0.749Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?
- +$31.22at 0.627Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 07:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.9969999879 | $51.00 |
| 09-17 07:13 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.997 | $66.00 |
| 08-11 06:33 | Trump out as President by August 31? | BUY | 0.994999994 | $76.00 |
| 08-11 06:31 | Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $90.00 |
| 08-11 06:30 | Will US withdraw from NATO by August 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $120.00 |
| 08-11 06:29 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.9969999995 | $145.00 |
| 07-26 12:46 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.996 | $150.00 |
| 07-05 17:43 | Trump out as President by July 31? | BUY | 0.994 | $100.00 |
| 07-05 17:43 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | BUY | 0.994 | $180.00 |
| 07-05 17:42 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7? | BUY | 0.9969999948 | $155.00 |
| 06-24 05:31 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in June? | BUY | 0.9979999926 | $130.00 |
| 06-24 05:28 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June? | BUY | 0.9979999949 | $153.00 |
| 06-09 05:06 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $136.00 |
| 06-09 05:05 | Will the price of Solana be above $100 on June 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $279.72 |
| 05-24 06:27 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.9932073714 | $266.00 |