0xf17A62065D3e1Da28379eEa07799d3DB34c36616-1774793462924
0xf17a62065d3e1da28379eea07799d3db34c36616
- Realised P&L
- $-3.9k
- Volume
- $266.2k
- Markets traded
- 4,309
- Open portfolio
- $72.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,309
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$209.15at 0.300Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
- +$197.07at 0.512Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
- +$158.10at 0.252Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
- +$141.65at 0.305Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
- +$126.46at 0.443Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 12:26 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.904446425 | $45.67 |
| 09-20 11:53 | Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.7151089109 | $36.11 |
| 09-11 02:25 | Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.99 | $24.75 |
| 09-07 10:21 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on September 7? | BUY | 0.8746858162 | $22.08 |
| 08-16 10:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $0.20 |
| 08-16 09:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $0.80 |
| 08-16 09:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET | BUY | 0.025753 | $2.58 |
| 08-16 08:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | BUY | 0.03 | $3.00 |
| 08-16 08:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $0.55 |
| 08-16 08:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 07:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 08-16 07:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 08-16 07:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 08-16 07:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET | BUY | 0.007 | $0.70 |
| 08-16 06:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $1.54 |