nearping
0xf16fffe62432a3087b2a647df6cf05b566819f16
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $2.28M
- Markets traded
- 953
- Open portfolio
- $41.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded953
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.0kat 0.750Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 14?
- +$2.9kat 0.750Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on April 5?
- +$2.8kat 0.750Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 7?
- +$2.7kat 0.749Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 30-April 5?
- +$2.5kat 0.790Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,400 on April 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 07:42 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.997 | $2.0k |
| 09-18 07:40 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.996 | $99.60 |
| 09-18 07:40 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.996 | $966.12 |
| 09-18 07:40 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.7k |
| 09-18 07:38 | Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.997 | $3.5k |
| 09-17 16:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.0k |
| 09-17 16:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.998 | $453.42 |
| 09-15 19:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.4k |
| 09-15 18:37 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.99 | $990.00 |
| 09-14 05:36 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 14? | BUY | 0.993 | $496.50 |
| 09-14 05:28 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 14? | BUY | 0.992 | $345.49 |
| 09-14 03:58 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.995 | $998.99 |
| 09-14 03:27 | Will Ethereum reach $2,700 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.998 | $8.70 |
| 09-14 03:27 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.9k |
| 09-14 03:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.996 | $717.70 |