nearping
0xf16fffe62432a3087b2a647df6cf05b566819f16
- Realised P&L
- $-3.1k
- Volume
- $2.07M
- Markets traded
- 869
- Open portfolio
- $47.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded869
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$907.99at 0.546MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
- +$308.24at 0.850Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$294.69at 0.987Xi Jinping out in 2025?
- +$280.00at 0.960US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
- +$272.73at 0.980Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 November 17-23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 14:34 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.0k |
| 08-03 14:26 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.0k |
| 08-01 08:31 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on August 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.0k |
| 08-01 08:00 | Will Ethereum reach $2,300 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.998 | $3.0k |
| 08-01 07:45 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on August 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.0k |
| 08-01 07:43 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.6k |
| 07-31 15:16 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 1? | BUY | 0.994 | $1.1k |
| 07-30 13:41 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.0k |
| 07-29 06:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 07-26 15:41 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July? | BUY | 0.985 | $985.00 |
| 07-26 15:38 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July? | BUY | 0.994 | $592.87 |
| 07-26 15:37 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July? | BUY | 0.984 | $897.09 |
| 07-26 15:34 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on July 27? | BUY | 0.995 | $386.04 |
| 07-26 15:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 20-26? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.0k |
| 07-21 16:30 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on July 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $222.18 |