Darwinzdfb
0xf16d8a986125ef2c1aa7578793e9f18da1152f08
- Realised P&L
- $6.80
- Volume
- $4.7k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $14.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liechtenstein vs. Lithuania: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.710 | 0.655 | $14.41 | −$1.21 |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-12? · No | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.40 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.53 |
| San Diego State vs. UCLA: O/U 55.5 · Over | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$139.44at 0.500Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?
- +$106.34at 0.998Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series?
- +$15.31at 0.500Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$14.43at 0.656Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
- +$13.53at 0.602Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 02:02 | Liechtenstein vs. Lithuania: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.71 | $15.62 |
| 09-11 06:12 | San Diego State vs. UCLA: O/U 55.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $13.92 |
| 09-05 09:15 | Will CD Eldense win on 2026-09-05? | BUY | 0.77 | $30.80 |
| 08-20 08:33 | Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) | BUY | 0.59 | $20.06 |
| 08-08 08:08 | UFC Fight Night: Juliana Miller vs. Ravena Oliveira (Women's Flyweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.74 | $37.44 |
| 07-11 08:05 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.645 | $27.09 |
| 07-02 11:11 | Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | BUY | 0.6775 | $13.28 |
| 06-12 02:01 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.77 | $14.53 |
| 06-09 07:38 | Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.61 | $13.54 |
| 05-12 07:44 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-12? | BUY | 0.4 | $26.40 |
| 04-29 06:32 | Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair? | SELL | 0.998 | $34.94 |
| 04-29 06:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April? | BUY | 0.9989998761 | $8.00 |
| 04-29 06:32 | Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 04-29 06:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April? | BUY | 0.9989998583 | $7.00 |
| 04-29 06:31 | Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |