PolyBot

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Traders

0xF162223059e6BB05CA9d27fED64E8edaf58D8697-1770304778121

0xf162223059e6bb05ca9d27fed64e8edaf58d8697

Realised P&L
$0.80
Volume
$10.6k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$0.63

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 13? · Yes0.5000.023$0.63−$13.12
Sabres vs. Rangers: O/U 7.5 · Under0.7300.000$0.00−$4.38
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 5.5 · Over0.5000.000$0.00−$23.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 14:10Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 5?BUY0.997$5.03
09-29 12:28Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on September 30?BUY0.994$5.98
09-28 14:47Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 69°F or below on September 29?BUY0.998$7.74
08-31 15:18Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on September 1?BUY0.994$5.30
07-07 01:37Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $336 Week of July 6 2026?BUY0.979$9.89
07-05 02:32Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 6?BUY0.99$5.15
06-23 00:44Spread: Ghana (-1.5)BUY0.985$8.21
06-16 01:29Spread: Senegal (-1.5)BUY0.967$9.67
06-01 02:42Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 2?BUY0.994$8.31
05-21 00:31Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 Week of May 18 2026?BUY0.9$11.97
05-16 02:58Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on May 17?BUY0.67$6.70
05-14 12:51Will the highest temperature in Denver be 74°F or higher on May 15?BUY0.994$14.25
05-11 00:52S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on May 11?BUY0.995$16.22
04-21 13:38Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on April 22?BUY0.961$5.36
04-08 14:00Sabres vs. Rangers: O/U 7.5BUY0.73$4.38