0xF162223059e6BB05CA9d27fED64E8edaf58D8697-1770304778121
0xf162223059e6bb05ca9d27fed64e8edaf58d8697
- Realised P&L
- $0.80
- Volume
- $10.6k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $0.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 13? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.023 | $0.63 | −$13.12 |
| Sabres vs. Rangers: O/U 7.5 · Under | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.38 |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 5.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.53at 0.500Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 5.5
- +$13.36at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 13?
- +$5.61at 0.982Will NVIDIA reach $252 in February?
- +$3.19at 0.681Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on May 17?
- +$1.51at 0.973Will MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 14:10 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.997 | $5.03 |
| 09-29 12:28 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.994 | $5.98 |
| 09-28 14:47 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 69°F or below on September 29? | BUY | 0.998 | $7.74 |
| 08-31 15:18 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on September 1? | BUY | 0.994 | $5.30 |
| 07-07 01:37 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $336 Week of July 6 2026? | BUY | 0.979 | $9.89 |
| 07-05 02:32 | Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.15 |
| 06-23 00:44 | Spread: Ghana (-1.5) | BUY | 0.985 | $8.21 |
| 06-16 01:29 | Spread: Senegal (-1.5) | BUY | 0.967 | $9.67 |
| 06-01 02:42 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 2? | BUY | 0.994 | $8.31 |
| 05-21 00:31 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 Week of May 18 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $11.97 |
| 05-16 02:58 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on May 17? | BUY | 0.67 | $6.70 |
| 05-14 12:51 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be 74°F or higher on May 15? | BUY | 0.994 | $14.25 |
| 05-11 00:52 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on May 11? | BUY | 0.995 | $16.22 |
| 04-21 13:38 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on April 22? | BUY | 0.961 | $5.36 |
| 04-08 14:00 | Sabres vs. Rangers: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.73 | $4.38 |