schaeferjames
0xf15eb9ab8984748549ac02a29fbe8e10fd0e1bf2
- Realised P&L
- $-2.60
- Volume
- $11.2k
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $25.33
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina vs. Benin: O/U 4.5 · Over | 0.590 | 0.615 | $25.33 | +$1.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.10at 0.632Will Norway win on 2026-09-27?
- +$9.20at 0.700Will Albania win on 2026-10-03?
- +$0.54at 0.967Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?
- +$0.21at 0.995Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in January?
- +$0.20at 0.988Will Meta have the top AI model on April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 02:58 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.6199999916 | $22.05 |
| 01-31 13:53 | Will XRP dip to $1.40 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.15 |
| 01-31 13:35 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in January? | BUY | 0.9989999611 | $17.31 |
| 01-30 16:33 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.66 |
| 01-30 15:57 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.9979999714 | $9.91 |
| 01-30 15:15 | Will Solana reach $150 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $27.73 |
| 01-30 14:13 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in January? | BUY | 0.995 | $42.08 |
| 12-30 12:28 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.9979999986 | $13.22 |
| 12-30 00:15 | Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999934 | $19.43 |
| 12-29 22:52 | Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.20 |
| 12-29 18:48 | Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $60.75 |
| 10-31 15:21 | Will Google have the top AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.995 | $21.40 |
| 10-31 14:53 | Will Solana dip to $150 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.58 |
| 10-30 19:20 | Will xAI have the top AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.9939999999 | $30.63 |
| 09-29 15:20 | Will Trump sue Powell by September 30? | BUY | 0.9979999428 | $11.07 |