PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

schaeferjames

0xf15eb9ab8984748549ac02a29fbe8e10fd0e1bf2

Realised P&L
$-2.60
Volume
$11.2k
Markets traded
84
Open portfolio
$25.33

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded84
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Argentina vs. Benin: O/U 4.5 · Over0.5900.615$25.33+$1.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 02:58Will Norway win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.6199999916$22.05
01-31 13:53Will XRP dip to $1.40 in January?BUY0.999$5.15
01-31 13:35Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in January?BUY0.9989999611$17.31
01-30 16:33Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in January?BUY0.999$8.66
01-30 15:57Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?BUY0.9979999714$9.91
01-30 15:15Will Solana reach $150 in January?BUY0.999$27.73
01-30 14:13Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in January?BUY0.995$42.08
12-30 12:28Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.9979999986$13.22
12-30 00:15Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes in 2025?BUY0.9979999934$19.43
12-29 22:52Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025?BUY0.999$19.20
12-29 18:48Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?BUY0.999$60.75
10-31 15:21Will Google have the top AI model on October 31?BUY0.995$21.40
10-31 14:53Will Solana dip to $150 in October?BUY0.999$20.58
10-30 19:20Will xAI have the top AI model on October 31?BUY0.9939999999$30.63
09-29 15:20Will Trump sue Powell by September 30?BUY0.9979999428$11.07