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Traders

thomasstephen

0xf14da64d1ea37fb309c4c1b073431f00bb1d8fb2

Realised P&L
$15.42
Volume
$12.3k
Markets traded
81
Open portfolio
$27.32

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded81
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration75.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Philip Brown win the 2026 Charlottetown mayoral election? · Yes0.6800.555$17.61$3.97
Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern? · Yes0.9000.925$9.71+$0.26

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-31 14:00Will BNB dip to $700 in January?BUY0.9989999458$12.32
01-30 15:30Will Chainlink hit $17 in January?BUY0.999$13.47
01-30 15:00Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in January?BUY0.999$23.40
01-30 13:23Will Opendoor reach $10.25 in January?BUY0.999$56.43
12-30 18:16Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.9969999751$4.53
12-30 15:52Will Trump pardon Himself in 2025?BUY0.997$5.34
12-30 12:53Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.9989999657$9.66
12-30 00:08Will Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025?BUY0.999$13.98
12-29 23:31Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in 2025?BUY0.998$21.62
12-29 20:15Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?BUY0.998$56.45
10-30 19:42Will xAI have the best AI model on October 31?BUY0.999$30.67
10-30 17:43Will Solana reach $250 in October?BUY0.998$26.37
09-29 17:05Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?BUY0.9979999668$14.60
09-29 16:13Will Trump sue Powell by September 30?BUY0.9979999583$12.10
09-29 04:58Will XRP reach $4.50 in September?BUY0.9979999942$14.70
Trader thomasstephen · PolyBot Pro