FragMalDenRalle
0xf142015c4f59b68bc78d17ffb4977d670f0957e7
- Realised P&L
- $124.6k
- Volume
- $10.15M
- Markets traded
- 3,595
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded3,595
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.0kat 0.136Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
- +$15.8kat 0.120France vs. England: O/U 5.5
- +$13.0kat 0.352Steelers vs. Browns
- +$12.2kat 0.032Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$10.8kat 0.429Will Hertha BSC win on 2025-12-07?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 21:03 | Will Kylian Mbappe score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.77 | $77.00 |
| 07-14 20:57 | Will Kylian Mbappe score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.82 | $12.30 |
| 07-14 20:48 | Will Kylian Mbappe score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.8031817604 | $200.00 |
| 07-14 20:46 | Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.1495140792 | $60.00 |
| 07-14 20:45 | Will Kylian Mbappe score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.7799999979 | $60.00 |
| 05-31 20:08 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.942 | $231.85 |
| 03-31 23:22 | Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF end in a draw? | BUY | 0.26 | $5.22 |
| 03-31 23:22 | Will Mexico win on 2026-03-31? | BUY | 0.74 | $296.00 |
| 03-31 23:22 | Will Brazil win on 2026-03-31? | BUY | 0.46 | $184.00 |
| 03-31 23:22 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03? | BUY | 0.24 | $761.73 |
| 03-31 23:22 | Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF end in a draw? | BUY | 0.26 | $15.48 |
| 03-29 18:10 | Will France win on 2026-03-29? | BUY | 0.52 | $106.60 |
| 03-29 18:10 | Will France win on 2026-03-29? | SELL | 0.47 | $157.02 |
| 03-29 18:10 | Will France win on 2026-03-29? | BUY | 0.53 | $65.72 |
| 03-29 18:10 | Will France win on 2026-03-29? | BUY | 0.53 | $65.72 |