0xf1409a77aabb74e25b35d18165cbe7be31b3bc5e
0xf1409a77aabb74e25b35d18165cbe7be31b3bc5e
- Realised P&L
- $10.16
- Volume
- $195.00
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $3.00
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $228 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.640 | 0.900 | $1.41 | +$0.41 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.750 | 0.765 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.415 | $0.58 | −$0.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.51at 0.227Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$3.34at 0.329Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$2.97at 0.258Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by September 30?
- +$2.79at 0.369Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during his rally with Darline Graham?
- +$2.54at 0.288Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of September 28 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 15:08 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:26 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $228 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 05:03 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 09:24 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 16:32 | Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 08:21 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 23:20 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 11:55 | Meta (META) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 03:52 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 19:51 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $150 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 11:41 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 29? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 03:40 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by September 30? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 19:39 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 10:37 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 00:56 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |