PolyBot

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Traders

EthanWilson

0xf1404dcb32ff7b78818f81820e79f9452d7db8db

Realised P&L
$-15.64
Volume
$782.03
Markets traded
211
Open portfolio
$37.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded211
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 15? · Yes0.1901.000$5.26+$4.26
Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on September 15? · Yes0.0920.475$5.15+$4.15
Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on September 15? · Yes0.0580.210$3.63+$2.63
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 15? · Yes0.6701.000$1.49+$0.49
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 16? · Yes0.3700.540$1.46+$0.46
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 16? · Yes0.4100.530$1.29+$0.29
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 16? · Yes0.4000.435$1.09+$0.09
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 16? · Yes0.4100.390$0.95$0.05
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 16? · Yes0.0430.040$0.94$0.06
Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on September 17? · Yes0.4400.395$0.90$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 16? · Yes0.3400.300$0.88$0.12
Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on September 17? · Yes0.4000.345$0.86$0.14
Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on September 16? · Yes0.4400.350$0.80$0.20
Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on September 17? · Yes0.1200.095$0.79$0.21
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on September 16? · Yes0.4000.305$0.76$0.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 02:17Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on September 17?BUY0.3899999337$1.00
09-16 02:16Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on September 16?BUY0.4399998592$1.00
09-16 02:14Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on September 17?BUY0.4691164239$1.00
09-16 02:14Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on September 16?BUY0.5099998215$1.00
09-16 02:12Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on September 17?BUY0.4$1.00
09-16 02:11Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on September 16?BUY0.4$1.00
09-16 01:59Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on September 17?BUY0.4399998592$1.00
09-16 01:58Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on September 16?BUY0.4$1.00
09-16 01:54Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on September 17?BUY0.1199999904$1.00
09-16 01:54Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on September 16?BUY0.3899999337$1.00
09-16 01:51Will the lowest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on September 17?BUY0.1899999962$1.00
09-16 01:51Will the lowest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on September 16?BUY0.3899999337$1.00
09-16 01:50Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on September 17?BUY0.4$1.00
09-16 01:49Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on September 16?BUY0.4$1.00
09-16 01:49Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on September 15?BUY0.0923070249$1.00