rubenhc
0xf1395c27625edc59c9178b35c47a1174552b3434
- Realised P&L
- $-104.61
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $2.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.70at 0.543Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 30?
- +$8.20at 0.557Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 29?
- +$7.87at 0.567Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 26?
- +$6.17at 0.457Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 10?
- +$5.86at 0.636Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 16:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $3.00 |
| 09-24 16:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 27? | BUY | 0.12 | $3.00 |
| 09-23 22:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 26? | BUY | 0.1399999963 | $3.00 |
| 09-15 11:01 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 15? | BUY | 0.6899999821 | $5.00 |
| 09-11 10:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 11? | BUY | 0.8189998799 | $5.00 |
| 08-19 04:38 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 19? | BUY | 0.7399998964 | $5.00 |
| 08-16 20:02 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 17? | BUY | 0.7199999654 | $5.00 |
| 08-07 10:38 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 7? | BUY | 0.7699998691 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 10:44 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 30? | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |
| 07-28 13:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 30? | SELL | 0.27 | $4.28 |
| 07-28 04:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 29? | SELL | 0.32 | $4.92 |
| 07-28 04:43 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 28? | SELL | 0.25 | $4.31 |
| 07-28 01:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 28? | SELL | 0.22 | $3.49 |
| 07-27 19:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 1? | BUY | 0.6666666667 | $10.00 |
| 07-27 05:07 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 31? | BUY | 0.7199999856 | $10.00 |