Supn
0xf13242c0f5ed15fe9aec0c5eab40a2a8dbafc706
- Realised P&L
- $4.8k
- Volume
- $1.25M
- Markets traded
- 5,791
- Open portfolio
- $1.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,791
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration35.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.3kat 0.014Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?
- +$1.5kat 0.021Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C on April 19?
- +$703.86at 0.005Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 38-39°F on January 25?
- +$597.15at 0.003Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on February 5?
- +$498.48at 0.002Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 07:52 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.0076978852 | $0.13 |
| 10-08 07:12 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 06:53 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.991 | $1.76 |
| 10-08 06:52 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.08 | $0.54 |
| 10-08 04:18 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 16:42 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 7? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.60 |
| 10-07 14:20 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 7? | SELL | 0.033 | $0.33 |
| 10-07 12:05 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.12 |
| 10-07 06:50 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.014 | $0.21 |
| 10-07 05:48 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.09 |
| 10-06 11:52 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.06 |
| 10-06 08:31 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 6? | SELL | 0.992 | $1.37 |
| 10-06 06:58 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 05:56 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.007 | $0.24 |
| 10-04 08:20 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.02 |