0xF12fEe7F8CA3c014Aa223E2621228Be1b7597a8c-1768639573294
0xf12fee7f8ca3c014aa223e2621228be1b7597a8c
- Realised P&L
- $25.73
- Volume
- $5.2k
- Markets traded
- 483
- Open portfolio
- $31.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded483
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.25at 0.536Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
- +$7.66at 0.657Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
- +$7.28at 0.722Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
- +$7.01at 0.583Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
- +$6.91at 0.517Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 12:54 | Will Russia capture Serhiivka by December 31? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 06:43 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 06:41 | Will Trump say "Iran" or "Iranian" during his remarks in Arlington? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 09:07 | Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 09:03 | Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997608 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 09:03 | Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 09:02 | Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997608 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 07:00 | Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 07:00 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 06:55 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499997975 | $1.00 |
| 08-27 06:09 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 08-27 06:06 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4899999534 | $2.00 |
| 08-24 09:16 | Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.52 |
| 08-14 12:24 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.95 | $5.63 |
| 07-26 11:48 | Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31? | SELL | 0.0099505703 | $0.05 |