PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xF12fEe7F8CA3c014Aa223E2621228Be1b7597a8c-1768639573294

0xf12fee7f8ca3c014aa223e2621228be1b7597a8c

Realised P&L
$25.73
Volume
$5.2k
Markets traded
483
Open portfolio
$31.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded483
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 12:54Will Russia capture Serhiivka by December 31?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
09-10 06:43Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.7599999088$1.00
09-10 06:41Will Trump say "Iran" or "Iranian" during his remarks in Arlington?BUY0.7099998509$1.00
09-03 09:07Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1099999032$1.00
09-03 09:03Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4599997608$1.00
09-03 09:03Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?BUY0.4$1.00
09-03 09:02Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4599997608$1.00
09-02 07:00Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1799998704$1.00
09-02 07:00Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2899998666$1.00
09-02 06:55Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.4499997975$1.00
08-27 06:09Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
08-27 06:06Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4899999534$2.00
08-24 09:16Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?SELL0.13$1.52
08-14 12:24Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.95$5.63
07-26 11:48Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?SELL0.0099505703$0.05