0xF12D04dF46cEC3C4a9606D15D7dB2C0A386dcF2b-1757857571606
0xf12d04df46cec3c4a9606d15d7db2c0a386dcf2b
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $41.1k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $965.06
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.105 | $713.62 | −$1.2k |
| Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? · Yes | 0.407 | 0.063 | $161.20 | −$888.80 |
| Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.185 | $90.24 | −$109.76 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025? · Yes | 0.062 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Ethereum all time high by December 31? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$727.95at 0.289Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during September press conference?
- +$213.14at 0.652Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$136.81at 0.801Maduro out in 2025?
- +$122.58at 0.620US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
- +$66.67at 0.600Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-04 02:58 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January? | BUY | 0.005 | $50.00 |
| 01-03 05:48 | Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? | BUY | 0.3856444496 | $600.00 |
| 01-02 03:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January? | BUY | 0.016 | $50.00 |
| 01-01 23:05 | Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? | BUY | 0.4099999988 | $200.00 |
| 01-01 07:39 | Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? | BUY | 0.4397313925 | $450.00 |
| 12-24 03:12 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.2199999968 | $50.00 |
| 12-22 06:22 | Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025? | BUY | 0.0623428925 | $50.00 |
| 12-18 14:04 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.2199999968 | $50.00 |
| 12-16 04:23 | Ethereum all time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.013 | $50.00 |
| 12-13 03:33 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.25 | $100.00 |
| 12-04 15:11 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.2199999992 | $200.00 |
| 12-04 15:09 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.2199999985 | $100.00 |
| 11-28 06:38 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.2599999985 | $100.00 |
| 11-28 05:27 | Maduro out in 2025? | BUY | 0.8399999997 | $200.00 |
| 11-28 05:26 | US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15? | BUY | 0.689999999 | $100.00 |