PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xF12D04dF46cEC3C4a9606D15D7dB2C0A386dcF2b-1757857571606

0xf12d04df46cec3c4a9606d15d7db2c0a386dcf2b

Realised P&L
$-1.7k
Volume
$41.1k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$965.06

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration54.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)53.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration73.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.2800.105$713.62$1.2k
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? · Yes0.4070.063$161.20$888.80
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.4100.185$90.24$109.76
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$50.00
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025? · Yes0.0620.000$0.00$50.00
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$50.00
Ethereum all time high by December 31? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-04 02:58Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?BUY0.005$50.00
01-03 05:48Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?BUY0.3856444496$600.00
01-02 03:36Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?BUY0.016$50.00
01-01 23:05Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?BUY0.4099999988$200.00
01-01 07:39Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?BUY0.4397313925$450.00
12-24 03:12Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.2199999968$50.00
12-22 06:22Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?BUY0.0623428925$50.00
12-18 14:04Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.2199999968$50.00
12-16 04:23Ethereum all time high by December 31?BUY0.013$50.00
12-13 03:33Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.25$100.00
12-04 15:11Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.2199999992$200.00
12-04 15:09Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.2199999985$100.00
11-28 06:38Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.2599999985$100.00
11-28 05:27Maduro out in 2025?BUY0.8399999997$200.00
11-28 05:26US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?BUY0.689999999$100.00