0xf1045f8f64E5073F3d6313C43d045918C746e5A0-1779801925200
0xf1045f8f64e5073f3d6313c43d045918c746e5a0
- Realised P&L
- $-114.33
- Volume
- $32.2k
- Markets traded
- 106
- Open portfolio
- $50.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded106
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$56.97at 0.497Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
- +$46.01at 0.878Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins
- +$32.75at 0.497Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5
- +$27.80at 0.860US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
- +$22.14at 0.519Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 07:59 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.016 | $4.44 |
| 06-18 07:59 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.014 | $5.00 |
| 06-18 07:58 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.184 | $5.68 |
| 06-18 07:58 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.128 | $7.19 |
| 06-18 07:58 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | SELL | 0.63 | $61.77 |
| 06-18 07:58 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $3.54 |
| 06-16 01:40 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | BUY | 0.64 | $62.75 |
| 06-16 01:38 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? | SELL | 0.951 | $63.39 |
| 06-16 01:32 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.4899999996 | $55.55 |
| 06-11 21:10 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.9572023308 | $54.00 |
| 06-11 21:09 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $53.73 |
| 06-11 05:24 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.9462103409 | $11.00 |
| 06-10 20:25 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.9487794078 | $40.00 |
| 06-10 19:52 | Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.449999955 | $5.00 |
| 06-10 18:35 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 29, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $3.88 |