PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xf1045f8f64E5073F3d6313C43d045918C746e5A0-1779801925200

0xf1045f8f64e5073f3d6313c43d045918c746e5a0

Realised P&L
$-114.33
Volume
$32.2k
Markets traded
106
Open portfolio
$50.74

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded106
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration73.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · No0.7400.925$37.50+$7.50
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? · Yes0.3900.315$8.07$1.93
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.6100.630$5.16+$0.16
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$10.00
Nanterre vs. Monaco · Nanterre0.4100.000$0.00$1.00
Lyon (Doubles): Ruehl/Wehnelt vs Gomez/Shugar · Gomez/Shugar0.2000.000$0.00$1.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? · No0.5800.000$0.00$58.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.5630.000$0.00$22.00
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? · No0.6500.000$0.00$100.00
Will OC Safi win on 2026-06-08? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$1.00
Will CDPJuniorFC win on 2026-06-08? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$1.00
Cattolica: Andrea Guerrieri vs Dalibor Svrcina · Dalibor Svrcina0.1700.000$0.00$0.19
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0840.000$0.00$5.00
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30? · No0.4200.000$0.00$10.00
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 · Under0.1700.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-18 07:59Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.016$4.44
06-18 07:59Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.014$5.00
06-18 07:58Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.184$5.68
06-18 07:58Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.128$7.19
06-18 07:58Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?SELL0.63$61.77
06-18 07:58Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by June 30, 2026?SELL0.11$3.54
06-16 01:40Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?BUY0.64$62.75
06-16 01:38Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?SELL0.951$63.39
06-16 01:32Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?BUY0.4899999996$55.55
06-11 21:10Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 12, 2026?BUY0.9572023308$54.00
06-11 21:09Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 11, 2026?SELL0.999$53.73
06-11 05:24Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 11, 2026?BUY0.9462103409$11.00
06-10 20:25Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 11, 2026?BUY0.9487794078$40.00
06-10 19:52Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5BUY0.449999955$5.00
06-10 18:35Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 29, 2026?SELL0.07$3.88