0xF0Fcd17E67942CE838a622eA23CBa81E019aa109-1782644352779
0xf0fcd17e67942ce838a622ea23cba81e019aa109
- Realised P&L
- $-32.18
- Volume
- $12.4k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $33.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration76.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government? · Yes | 0.134 | 0.130 | $33.99 | −$1.01 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET · Down | 0.155 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.55 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.42 |
| Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET · Down | 0.114 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.60 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET · Down | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.29at 0.098Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C?
- +$5.45at 0.222Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
- +$-1.01at 0.053Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
- +$-3.22at 0.053Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government?
- +$-5.63at 0.119Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 15:57 | Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.1338797811 | $35.00 |
| 10-25 15:57 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.24 | $36.16 |
| 10-18 16:13 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.23 | $8.20 |
| 10-18 16:11 | Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.0236077536 | $7.08 |
| 10-18 16:10 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.23 | $9.20 |
| 10-18 16:05 | Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + SD? | SELL | 0.081 | $8.14 |
| 10-18 16:04 | Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C? | SELL | 0.086 | $3.44 |
| 10-18 06:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.42 |
| 10-17 20:06 | Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C? | SELL | 0.10064 | $2.01 |
| 10-17 20:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $0.90 |
| 10-17 20:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | BUY | 0.14 | $0.70 |
| 10-17 19:55 | Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C? | SELL | 0.101 | $2.02 |
| 10-17 19:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET | BUY | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 10-17 19:34 | Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C? | SELL | 0.101 | $2.02 |
| 10-07 07:50 | Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.042 | $2.52 |