V1nch0u
0xf0f86cdb6872730ca12c84ff8b014a539b8c325f
- Realised P&L
- $-21.3k
- Volume
- $3.71M
- Markets traded
- 9,105
- Open portfolio
- $72.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded9,105
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration95.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.881 | 0.905 | $69.8k | +$1.8k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? · No | 0.810 | 0.810 | $1.4k | +$0.00 |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? · No | 0.851 | 0.860 | $1.3k | +$14.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.1kat 0.018Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on August 27?
- +$4.5kat 0.886Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
- +$4.3kat 0.882Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- +$2.3kat 0.878US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?
- +$2.2kat 0.907Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 22:44 | Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? | BUY | 0.86 | $132.96 |
| 09-24 22:41 | Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? | BUY | 0.85 | $1.2k |
| 09-24 22:41 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $49.41 |
| 09-24 22:40 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.67 | $1.7k |
| 09-24 13:04 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $520.93 |
| 09-24 13:02 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $837.01 |
| 09-22 21:43 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $615.37 |
| 09-22 21:43 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $615.37 |
| 09-22 21:41 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $1.4k |
| 09-22 21:41 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $1.4k |
| 09-22 10:18 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $51.77 |
| 09-22 10:17 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $589.30 |
| 09-22 10:17 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $199.08 |
| 09-22 10:02 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $700.35 |
| 09-22 10:00 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $617.70 |