PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xF0F036b9A7F99286B1302F81e4a3f544178269CD-1776419605545

0xf0f036b9a7f99286b1302f81e4a3f544178269cd

Realised P&L
$-46.80
Volume
$409.62
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$1.32

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-11.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration46.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1010.044$1.32$1.68
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Draw at halftime? · Yes0.6100.000$0.00$5.00
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$2.00
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5) · FC Bayern München0.0680.000$0.00$1.00
Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$2.00
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$3.00
Spread: France (-1.5) · France0.6000.000$0.00$24.90
Iran full airspace closure by July 15? · Yes0.1130.000$0.00$3.00
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$5.00
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.0670.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-22 05:20Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?SELL0.998$29.44
07-20 22:38Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?BUY0.6779532332$20.00
07-14 19:57Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.179999928$2.00
07-12 10:37Iran full airspace closure by July 15?BUY0.112999969$3.00
07-12 10:36Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1013202061$3.00
07-12 10:35Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026?BUY0.0669999693$2.00
07-06 15:56World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?BUY0.0579999828$3.00
07-06 15:55World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?BUY0.0579999737$2.00
07-04 20:09Spread: France (-1.5)SELL0.59$5.01
07-04 19:53Spread: France (-1.5)BUY0.6$30.00
06-19 19:03Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?BUY0.149999976$5.00
05-30 17:17Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
05-30 17:17Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
04-28 19:59Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)BUY0.0679999383$1.00
04-28 19:58Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?BUY0.1799998704$1.00