0xF0F036b9A7F99286B1302F81e4a3f544178269CD-1776419605545
0xf0f036b9a7f99286b1302f81e4a3f544178269cd
- Realised P&L
- $-46.80
- Volume
- $409.62
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $1.32
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration46.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.101 | 0.044 | $1.32 | −$1.68 |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Draw at halftime? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5) · FC Bayern München | 0.068 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Spread: France (-1.5) · France | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.90 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 15? · Yes | 0.113 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.067 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.44at 0.678Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?
- +$9.01at 0.100Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on April 17?
- +$1.73at 0.637Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?
- +$0.00at 0.998Will the highest temperature in Austin be 96°F or higher on April 17?
- +$-1.00at 0.100Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on April 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 05:20 | Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $29.44 |
| 07-20 22:38 | Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6779532332 | $20.00 |
| 07-14 19:57 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.179999928 | $2.00 |
| 07-12 10:37 | Iran full airspace closure by July 15? | BUY | 0.112999969 | $3.00 |
| 07-12 10:36 | Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1013202061 | $3.00 |
| 07-12 10:35 | Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0669999693 | $2.00 |
| 07-06 15:56 | World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium? | BUY | 0.0579999828 | $3.00 |
| 07-06 15:55 | World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium? | BUY | 0.0579999737 | $2.00 |
| 07-04 20:09 | Spread: France (-1.5) | SELL | 0.59 | $5.01 |
| 07-04 19:53 | Spread: France (-1.5) | BUY | 0.6 | $30.00 |
| 06-19 19:03 | Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |
| 05-30 17:17 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 05-30 17:17 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 04-28 19:59 | Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5) | BUY | 0.0679999383 | $1.00 |
| 04-28 19:58 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28? | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |