polli002
0xf0ec235e26c82a4dda1fbb256d2f12b612fd99d4
- Realised P&L
- $134.16
- Volume
- $106.5k
- Markets traded
- 151
- Open portfolio
- $256.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded151
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| W15 Sao Luis: Jennifer Rosa Dourado vs Josefina Estevez · Josefina Estevez | 0.999 | 1.000 | $256.66 | +$0.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.78at 0.991US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?
- +$6.65at 0.993Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$5.00at 0.995US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?
- +$5.00at 0.995US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?
- +$2.96at 0.997US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 07:32 | Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $986.51 |
| 09-18 06:45 | M15 Hurghada: Paul Jubb vs Viktor Frydrych | BUY | 0.999 | $999.00 |
| 09-18 06:38 | Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? | BUY | 0.999 | $999.00 |
| 09-18 00:54 | Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $998.00 |
| 09-17 17:27 | LoL: CITA Kaizen vs eSuba - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.998 | $998.00 |
| 09-17 08:51 | KHL: SKA St. Petersburg vs. Shanghai Dragons | BUY | 0.999 | $538.98 |
| 09-17 03:26 | Will Catalina "Titi" Tcherkaski win Big Brother Argentina 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.61 |
| 09-17 03:26 | Will Franco Poggio win Big Brother Argentina 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $19.15 |
| 09-17 02:44 | CD Coquimbo Unido vs. CD Huachipato: Draw at halftime? | BUY | 0.999 | $580.24 |
| 09-16 21:39 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.998 | $469.50 |
| 09-16 18:00 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $999.00 |
| 09-16 18:00 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.993 | $993.00 |
| 09-16 15:25 | M25 Zlatibor: Nemanja Malesevic vs Gilberto Ravasio | BUY | 0.999 | $29.73 |
| 09-16 13:43 | Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? | BUY | 0.999 | $999.00 |
| 09-16 12:03 | Biella: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Pavel Lagutin | BUY | 0.999 | $999.00 |