0xf0dd2c2ed0891b408738f543Ec6D735B2870bc92-1775508822912
0xf0dd2c2ed0891b408738f543ec6d735b2870bc92
- Realised P&L
- $-4.33
- Volume
- $187.31
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $27.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.958 | $6.06 | +$1.06 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.830 | 0.972 | $4.68 | +$0.68 |
| Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.800 | $3.16 | +$0.16 |
| Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool? · Yes | 0.853 | 0.895 | $3.15 | +$0.15 |
| Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.425 | $2.45 | −$0.55 |
| Mark Ruffalo as Hulk? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.745 | $2.13 | +$0.13 |
| Tom Holland as Spider-Man? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.455 | $1.62 | −$0.38 |
| Hugh Jackman as Wolverine? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.910 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.875 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Benedict Wong as Wong? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.720 | $0.90 | −$0.10 |
| Halle Berry as Storm? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.125 | $0.68 | −$1.32 |
| Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.220 | $0.34 | −$0.66 |
| Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? · No | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.29 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.12at 0.470US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
- +$1.82at 0.800Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
- +$1.41at 0.740Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
- +$1.28at 0.374Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
- +$0.81at 0.777Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 17:09 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | BUY | 0.3599999899 | $4.29 |
| 05-21 11:50 | Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 05-21 11:50 | Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau? | BUY | 0.7599999595 | $3.00 |
| 05-21 11:48 | Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan? | BUY | 0.5199999861 | $3.00 |
| 05-21 11:48 | Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man? | BUY | 0.7899996998 | $2.00 |
| 05-21 11:47 | Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool? | BUY | 0.84 | $2.00 |
| 05-21 11:46 | Mark Ruffalo as Hulk? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 05-21 11:46 | Tom Holland as Spider-Man? | BUY | 0.5599999664 | $2.00 |
| 05-21 11:46 | Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man? | BUY | 0.7899997551 | $3.00 |
| 05-21 11:45 | Halle Berry as Storm? | BUY | 0.3699999112 | $2.00 |
| 05-20 13:55 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.51 | $3.83 |
| 05-20 13:54 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.52 | $3.90 |
| 05-12 15:03 | Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"? | SELL | 0.088 | $0.42 |
| 04-22 17:16 | Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.81 |
| 04-22 17:14 | Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | SELL | 0.25 | $1.81 |