Smickle
0xf0d8342d719250ca3656fcc9acf03e5baf5bf5e2
- Realised P&L
- $-2.1k
- Volume
- $392.3k
- Markets traded
- 223
- Open portfolio
- $14.36
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded223
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration83.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$464.79at 0.073Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
- +$172.56at 0.180Bitcoin Up or Down on February 15?
- +$109.65at 0.101Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
- +$54.05at 0.150Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
- +$53.75at 0.080Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 11:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 19? | BUY | 0.0176462523 | $21.45 |
| 09-17 10:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.037 | $26.00 |
| 09-17 10:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.0041748811 | $8.00 |
| 09-17 10:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.008 | $4.55 |
| 09-17 10:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.01 | $6.42 |
| 09-17 10:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 19? | BUY | 0.014 | $17.00 |
| 09-17 10:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.0053343465 | $5.85 |
| 09-17 10:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.011 | $10.00 |
| 07-29 07:44 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2119999988 | $114.34 |
| 07-29 07:02 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $8.00 |
| 07-03 08:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in July? | BUY | 0.0121923792 | $50.00 |
| 07-03 08:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in July? | BUY | 0.0166568681 | $40.00 |
| 07-03 08:10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July? | BUY | 0.0310880078 | $50.00 |
| 07-03 08:10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July? | BUY | 0.0599999989 | $50.00 |
| 07-03 08:09 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July? | BUY | 0.1099999982 | $50.00 |