PolyBot

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Traders

jiangdesha

0xf0cf1935338fb336b2cacdcd42a224867ac31754

Realised P&L
$-5.63
Volume
$8.2k
Markets traded
65
Open portfolio
$16.05

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded65
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1150? · Yes0.9990.996$16.05$0.05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 28? · Yes0.2640.000$0.00$475.58
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$2.00
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.00
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in September? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 11:52Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1150?BUY0.9989999452$16.10
08-28 11:49Trump out as President by August 31?BUY0.999$16.10
07-24 09:00Trump out as President by July 31?BUY0.9979999455$16.00
06-05 08:51Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?BUY0.999$95.00
05-28 08:19Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?BUY0.9989999904$94.00
05-25 06:27Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?BUY0.9989999904$94.00
05-17 08:19Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?BUY0.999$94.00
05-14 11:07Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?BUY0.998$40.00
05-14 10:53Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?BUY0.002$2.00
05-14 10:52Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or higher on May 14?BUY0.9989999821$53.00
05-10 06:34Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?BUY0.999$95.00
05-10 06:34Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?BUY0.995$1.00
05-10 06:34Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?BUY0.999$1.15
05-05 08:30Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?BUY0.999$97.00
04-24 01:21Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 24?BUY0.999$95.03