rich-seal
0xf0cd8acf63ace7fc40a0fa2e32e3a517d9ecbdec
- Realised P&L
- $-76.60
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 145
- Open portfolio
- $33.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded145
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration2.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Houston Astros clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.785 | $5.86 | +$0.86 |
| Spread: Cowboys (-2.5) · Cowboys | 0.600 | 0.600 | $5.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? · No | 0.780 | 0.775 | $4.97 | −$0.03 |
| Spread: Steelers (-1.5) · Patriots | 0.710 | 0.705 | $4.96 | −$0.04 |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) · Packers | 0.700 | 0.685 | $4.89 | −$0.11 |
| Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-07-16? · No | 0.650 | 0.585 | $4.50 | −$0.50 |
| Spread: Texans (-4.5) · Bengals | 0.600 | 0.605 | $3.63 | +$0.03 |
| Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-08-01? · No | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Utah Royals FC win on 2026-09-04? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5) · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.780 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Taylor Fritz advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Spread: GNK Dinamo Zagreb (-2.5) · FK Kauno Žalgiris | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Spread: Hammarby IF (-1.5) · BK Hacken | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5) · Atlanta Braves | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) · Miami Marlins | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.82at 0.532Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 3.5 Corners
- +$8.82at 0.532Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5
- +$8.18at 0.550Will the announcers say "Dolphins" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?
- +$7.81at 0.562San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5
- +$7.33at 0.582Martinez vs. Darderi: Match O/U 22.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 05:43 | Will NEC Nijmegen win on 2026-07-31? | BUY | 0.66 | $4.92 |
| 07-30 22:55 | Will CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-07-30? | BUY | 0.58 | $4.91 |
| 07-30 22:24 | Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-07-30? | BUY | 0.65 | $4.92 |
| 07-30 21:39 | Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-07-30? | BUY | 0.75 | $4.87 |
| 07-26 17:37 | Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat? | SELL | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 07-26 17:37 | Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.69 | $3.45 |
| 07-26 17:37 | New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 07-26 17:37 | New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 07-24 19:14 | Atlante FC vs. CF América: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.51 | $5.06 |
| 07-24 19:14 | Spread: CF América (-1.5) | BUY | 0.64 | $6.82 |
| 07-24 14:28 | Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) | BUY | 0.68 | $6.57 |
| 07-24 14:28 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.55 | $6.33 |
| 07-24 14:28 | Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.57 | $5.89 |
| 07-24 14:28 | Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox | BUY | 0.56 | $6.47 |
| 07-24 14:28 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.55 | $6.44 |