0xf0cb32bA1671757A6C2F27ddD61AB6dF0F564e22-1767724172400
0xf0cb32ba1671757a6c2f27ddd61ab6df0f564e22
- Realised P&L
- $-19.8k
- Volume
- $453.0k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $2.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$931.99at 0.218Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$629.13at 0.210Packers vs. Bears
- +$-277.49at 0.027Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$-370.34at 0.081Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$-972.43at 0.200Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 00:19 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999999 | $1000.00 |
| 08-03 19:54 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1350105702 | $589.34 |
| 08-03 19:54 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1369999995 | $195.42 |
| 08-03 19:54 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1280890201 | $1.2k |
| 08-03 19:52 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.1261428588 | $1.7k |
| 08-03 19:52 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.6k |
| 07-13 01:49 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.0899165717 | $1.7k |
| 07-13 01:49 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $29.05 |
| 07-13 01:49 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $29.58 |
| 07-13 01:49 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $28.86 |
| 07-13 01:49 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $125.30 |
| 07-13 01:49 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $120.65 |
| 05-06 21:32 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.1393127438 | $4.3k |
| 03-01 00:28 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.1471687939 | $1.7k |
| 02-28 16:35 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SELL | 0.4901828738 | $1.7k |