PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xf0cb32bA1671757A6C2F27ddD61AB6dF0F564e22-1767724172400

0xf0cb32ba1671757a6c2f27ddd61ab6df0f564e22

Realised P&L
$-19.8k
Volume
$453.0k
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$2.8k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration59.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1310.105$1.6k$388.04
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.0700.065$928.57$71.41
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1580.030$212.41$887.58
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · Yes0.2950.046$51.17$273.83
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00$299.99
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31? · Yes0.1150.000$0.00$699.99
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$9.01
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.0890.000$0.00$499.99
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.1220.000$0.00$400.00
Will Tyler Shough be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$119.99
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$300.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 9? · No0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$20.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 9? · No0.0070.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 9? · No0.0430.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-21 00:19Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.0699999999$1000.00
08-03 19:54Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1350105702$589.34
08-03 19:54Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1369999995$195.42
08-03 19:54Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1280890201$1.2k
08-03 19:52Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.1261428588$1.7k
08-03 19:52Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.07$1.6k
07-13 01:49Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.0899165717$1.7k
07-13 01:49Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.08$29.05
07-13 01:49Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.08$29.58
07-13 01:49Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.08$28.86
07-13 01:49Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.08$125.30
07-13 01:49Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.08$120.65
05-06 21:32Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.1393127438$4.3k
03-01 00:28Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.1471687939$1.7k
02-28 16:35Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?SELL0.4901828738$1.7k