PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xf0cb32bA1671757A6C2F27ddD61AB6dF0F564e22-1767724172400

0xf0cb32ba1671757a6c2f27ddd61ab6df0f564e22

Realised P&L
$-19.1k
Volume
$387.6k
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$3.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration59.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.0880.075$1.7k$297.29
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0760.128$1.7k+$677.64
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1580.041$282.05$817.94
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · Yes0.2950.051$56.68$268.32
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00$299.99
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31? · Yes0.1150.000$0.00$699.99
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$9.01
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.0890.000$0.00$499.99
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.1220.000$0.00$400.00
Will Tyler Shough be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$119.99
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$300.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 9? · No0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$20.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 9? · No0.0070.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 9? · No0.0430.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-13 01:49Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.0899165717$1.7k
07-13 01:49Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.08$29.05
07-13 01:49Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.08$29.58
07-13 01:49Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.08$28.86
07-13 01:49Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.08$125.30
07-13 01:49Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.08$120.65
05-06 21:32Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.1393127438$4.3k
03-01 00:28Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.1471687939$1.7k
02-28 16:35Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?SELL0.4901828738$1.7k
01-30 22:04Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.2$71.00
01-30 22:03Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?SELL0.0072284119$67.41
01-29 20:46Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.2199999998$675.00
01-29 20:45Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?BUY0.029490468$275.00
01-29 19:28Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?SELL0.00551313$27.57
01-29 19:19Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?SELL0.0191834477$926.21