0xf0c92713a437c2581d2308f2b89c4aefd29c6c21
- Realised P&L
- $-1.89
- Volume
- $23.46
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $0.65
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration26.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.230 | 0.150 | $0.65 | −$0.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.65at 0.610Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
- +$0.56at 0.640US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?
- +$0.48at 0.679Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$0.37at 0.730US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
- +$0.36at 0.738Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $186 Week of August 17 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 02:05 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 10:20 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $350 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 00:12 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 08-22 01:45 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 08-20 01:11 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 11:38 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of August 17 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 03:04 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $186 Week of August 17 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 08-09 23:47 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 10? | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 08-09 12:12 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |
| 08-09 04:08 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |