Sky92
0xf0c7ef75bf93e5ba72932968506fed171889cff1
- Realised P&L
- $16.1k
- Volume
- $260.2k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $72.97
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · Yes | 0.205 | 0.075 | $72.97 | −$127.03 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on June 24? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.2kat 0.265Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
- +$196.72at 0.337Will the price of Bitcoin be between $107K and $108K on June 27 at 5PM ET?
- +$-99.99at 0.007Will the price of Bitcoin be between $103K and $105K on July 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 15:55 | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.2055779841 | $200.00 |
| 07-04 13:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $103K and $105K on July 4? | BUY | 0.0067506085 | $100.00 |
| 06-27 19:16 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $107K and $108K on June 27 at 5PM ET? | BUY | 0.337017728 | $100.00 |
| 06-24 18:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on June 24? | BUY | 0.001 | $200.00 |
| 06-02 04:16 | Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland? | SELL | 0.9965947982 | $22.0k |
| 06-01 18:22 | Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland? | BUY | 0.2092679825 | $2.9k |
| 05-31 21:16 | Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland? | BUY | 0.362 | $2.9k |